Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.796294 1.875185 1.956348 2.046267 2.143303 2.245098 2.360255
2025-12-21 1.667780 1.779964 1.899787 2.037970 2.193789 2.365090 2.569090
2025-12-28 1.584548 1.722701 1.875029 2.056963 2.270411 2.515561 2.822442
2026-01-04 1.483382 1.635907 1.808310 2.020082 2.276769 2.582730 2.982912
2026-01-11 1.421464 1.588395 1.781496 2.025114 2.329931 2.707026 3.223196
2026-01-18 1.376668 1.556928 1.769939 2.045502 2.400984 2.857223 3.511469
2026-01-25 1.320617 1.507841 1.732885 2.030024 2.423192 2.943853 3.721699
2026-02-01 1.262512 1.452657 1.684407 1.995611 2.416267 2.988510 3.874922
2026-02-08 1.194849 1.382213 1.612805 1.926177 2.356300 2.953020 3.902681
2026-02-15 1.149342 1.337458 1.571480 1.893785 2.343886 2.982540 4.031661
2026-02-22 1.116274 1.306892 1.546674 1.881537 2.357795 3.050102 4.227714
2026-03-01 1.081263 1.272302 1.514847 1.857558 2.352625 3.087501 4.376799
2026-03-08 1.035549 1.224344 1.466159 1.811699 2.318443 3.086321 4.476141
2026-03-15 1.011335 1.203717 1.453190 1.815394 2.358218 3.205954 4.813929
2026-03-22 0.995345 1.193264 1.453389 1.837742 2.427921 3.382024 5.295481
2026-03-29 0.963421 1.160291 1.421262 1.811251 2.419665 3.426193 5.523958
2026-04-05 0.944855 1.144563 1.412206 1.818028 2.464391 3.566998 5.989723
2026-04-12 0.931363 1.135111 1.411327 1.836692 2.529524 3.752188 6.607398
2026-04-19 0.909207 1.112886 1.391274 1.824773 2.542441 3.841225 7.020040
2026-04-26 0.883466 1.084838 1.361751 1.796564 2.525338 3.870030 7.286125
2026-05-03 0.850212 1.045405 1.314511 1.738555 2.453017 3.782320 7.214846
2026-05-10 0.827739 1.020493 1.287594 1.711456 2.433188 3.798892 7.446270
2026-05-17 0.811336 1.003636 1.271828 1.701248 2.442390 3.875914 7.880553